In an election unlikely to reveal a tangible difference in economic policies or capacity for large-scale taxation bribery, it appears that symbolic issues might become more important, and so might local personalities.
However, judging from the uninspiring personality contests hinted at in the analysis of Queensland marginal seats below, and the disingenuously disputed fact that even on social or cultural policies (cultural policies? What would those be?) the major parties hardly disagree, the end result might be no more complicated to predict than some really spurious claims about statistics.
Looking at the seats below as a national mean, which they are not, 28 per cent of seats may determine the outcome of the federal election. That’s 42 of the 150 single-member divisions. Should we just limit the lies and pork barreling to suit the constituents in those electorates? Tell me after the election whether that ‘was’ as foolhardy an idea as it sounds right now.